Canada Immigration Levels Plan 2027-2029: What to Expect Before November 1
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Canada Immigration Levels Plan 2027-2029: What to Expect Before November 1

Rami Mamar
Rami MamarRegulated Canadian Immigration Consultant · RCIC-IRB #R515110
Editorial policy
Published 5 min read

Key Takeaways

  • The 2027-2029 plan is due on or before November 1, 2026, under section 94 of IRPA
  • Current notional targets: 380,000 permanent residents and 370,000 new temporary arrivals in each of 2027 and 2028
  • Non-permanent residents were 6.7% of the population on July 1, 2026; the goal is under 5% by the end of 2027
  • Permanent residents are to stay under 1% of the population after 2027, about 418,000 a year at today's size
  • On September 27, 2026, Prime Minister Carney said the government is weighing a controlled increase in population, with no numbers given

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As of October 8, 2026. Canada's 2027-2029 Immigration Levels Plan has not been released yet. Under the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act (IRPA), the Minister must table the annual immigration report, which carries the plan, on or before November 1, 2026, unless Parliament is not sitting. The current 2026-2028 plan already sets "notional" targets for 2027 and 2028, 380,000 permanent residents and 370,000 new temporary resident arrivals in each year, which Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) says "will be confirmed or adjusted by November 1 of each year." This page sets out what is already decided, the two caps the government has committed to, and what to watch for. We will update it with the actual figures on the day the plan is tabled.

When will the 2027-2029 Immigration Levels Plan be released?

By law it is due on or before November 1, 2026. Section 94 of the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act requires the Minister to table a report on the operation of the Act each year "on or before November 1" or, if a House of Parliament is not sitting, within the next 30 sitting days. That report includes the number of people projected to become permanent residents in the following year.

Three dates help set expectations:

DateWhat happened
May 12 to June 30, 2026IRCC's public consultation on the 2027-2029 levels plan
Early November 2025The current 2026-2028 plan was published
November 1, 2026Legal deadline for this year's report, unless Parliament is not sitting

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What does the current plan already say about 2027 and 2028?

The 2026-2028 plan set targets for all three years, but IRCC labels the 2027 and 2028 figures "notional": they stand until the new plan confirms or changes them. Each target comes with a range, shown in brackets, according to IRCC's supplementary information for the 2026-2028 plan.

Category2026 target2027 notional target2028 notional target
Total permanent residents380,000 (350,000 to 420,000)380,000 (350,000 to 420,000)380,000 (350,000 to 420,000)
Economic239,800244,700244,700
Federal High Skilled109,000111,000111,000
Provincial Nominee Program91,50092,50092,500
Family84,00081,00081,000
Spouses, partners and children69,00066,00066,000
Parents and grandparents15,00015,00015,000
Refugees and protected persons49,30049,30049,300
Humanitarian, compassionate and other6,9005,0005,000
New temporary resident arrivals385,000370,000370,000
Students155,000150,000150,000
Workers230,000220,000220,000

The plan puts the economic class at 64% of admissions in 2027 and 2028. For French-speaking admissions outside Quebec, it sets 9.5% in 2027 and 10.5% in 2028, and supports a goal of 12% by 2029. Our guide to Canada's 2026-2028 immigration plan explains each of these programs.

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What two caps will shape the 2027-2029 plan?

The government has committed to two limits that frame the new plan, both stated in IRCC's consultation page:

  • reducing Canada's temporary population "to less than 5% of Canada's population by the end of 2027"
  • keeping "the number of permanent resident admissions at less than 1% of the population after 2027"

Statistics Canada's population estimate for July 1, 2026 puts those caps in numbers. Canada had 41,798,407 people and 2,779,774 non-permanent residents on that date. We calculated the rest from those two figures:

MeasureFigure
Non-permanent residents, July 1, 20262,779,774
Share of the populationabout 6.7%
5% of the July 1, 2026 populationabout 2,090,000
Gap to the 5% goal at today's populationabout 690,000 people
1% of the July 1, 2026 populationabout 418,000
Current permanent resident target as a share of today's populationabout 0.91% (380,000)

Two things follow. The 5% goal still requires a large drop in the temporary population by the end of 2027, so temporary resident arrival targets are the part of the plan most likely to stay tight. The 1% cap would allow permanent resident targets of up to about 418,000 a year after 2027 at today's population, above the current 380,000, but it is a ceiling, not a target.

Will Canada increase immigration levels for 2027?

Possibly, but nothing has been announced. In an interview with The New York Times published on September 27, 2026, Prime Minister Mark Carney said the question now is "when do we resume some controlled increase in the population," after the cuts of the past two years. He did not give a number or a date.

What is known is the room the government has given itself. The current plan holds permanent residents flat at 380,000 a year through 2028, and the 1% cap would allow up to about 418,000 a year after 2027 at today's population. Temporary residents are the opposite case: the 5% goal for the end of 2027 still points to fewer arrivals, not more. So if there is an increase, it is more likely to show up in permanent resident targets for 2028 and 2029 than in temporary numbers for 2027. Only the tabled plan will settle it.

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What should you watch for in the new plan?

Nothing below is announced. These are the points that will tell you how the plan affects you:

  • Whether 2027 and 2028 change. Confirming 380,000 permanent residents and 370,000 temporary arrivals means stability; a change to either is the headline.
  • The first 2029 targets. The new plan adds 2029, the first year the 1% cap applies in full.
  • Temporary resident arrivals. Look at the student and worker numbers against the 5% goal.
  • The economic class. Federal High Skilled (111,000 notional for 2027) and the Provincial Nominee Program (92,500) drive Express Entry and provincial invitations. IRCC has also proposed merging the Express Entry programs; see our Express Entry overhaul explainer.
  • Francophone targets. The plan should show the path from 10.5% in 2028 toward 12% by 2029, which matters for French-language Express Entry rounds.
  • One-time measures. The current plan includes a one-time initiative to move about 115,000 protected persons already in Canada to permanent residence over two years, and the In-Canada Workers Initiative for up to 33,000 workers. Whether these continue or end shapes the numbers for 2027.

What should you do before the plan comes out?

Plan around the current targets, which remain official until replaced. If you are in the Express Entry pool, keep your profile current, because invitations continue under the existing targets; see the latest rounds on our Express Entry draws page. If you are on a study or work permit, the temporary resident numbers are the ones to watch, so map out your permanent residence route now. To see which programs fit your profile, run a free PR assessment.

No plan guarantees an outcome for any one person. Targets set how many people Canada admits overall, not whether a given application is approved.

Frequently asked questions

When will Canada announce the 2027-2029 immigration plan?

On or before November 1, 2026, unless Parliament is not sitting, in which case it is due within the next 30 sitting days. Last year's plan came out in early November 2025.

How many permanent residents will Canada admit in 2027?

The current notional target is 380,000, within a range of 350,000 to 420,000. The 2027-2029 plan will confirm or adjust it.

Will Canada increase or cut immigration in 2027?

The current plan holds permanent residents at 380,000 and lowers new temporary arrivals from 385,000 in 2026 to 370,000 in 2027. Prime Minister Carney said in September 2026 that the government is weighing when to resume a "controlled increase in the population," but gave no numbers. Because of the 5% goal for temporary residents, any increase is more likely on the permanent resident side. The new plan will show the exact figures.

What is the 1% cap?

The government has said it will keep permanent resident admissions below 1% of Canada's population after 2027. At the July 1, 2026 population of about 41.8 million, 1% is about 418,000 a year.

Sources


This is general information, not legal advice. Want to know how the new plan affects your file? Book a consultation with a Regulated Canadian Immigration Consultant (RCIC) at Go Far Global, RCIC R515110.

Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute immigration or legal advice. Immigration laws and policies change frequently. Each case is unique and outcomes depend on individual circumstances. Consult a Regulated Canadian Immigration Consultant (RCIC) before making immigration decisions.

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Rami Mamar

Regulated Canadian Immigration Consultant

RCIC-IRB #R515110Commissioner of Oaths

Rami Mamar is an RCIC-IRB licensed immigration consultant and Commissioner of Oaths with over a decade of experience helping clients from Iran, UAE, Syria, Armenia, and worldwide immigrate to Canada. He has overseen 10,000+ immigration cases including Express Entry, work permits, study permits, and family sponsorship applications.

Verify credentials on College of Immigration and Citizenship Consultants (CICC)

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